Israel Needs to Prepare For Broad War Between US and Iran: INSS Report

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Israel Needs to Prepare For Broad War Between US and Iran: INSS Report

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On January 6th, Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) released its annual report, warning that Tel Aviv must prepare for a potential broad war between Iran and the US.

The report was delivered by INSS executive director Amos Yadlin to President Reuven Rivlin.

It had a new, special section, written in the last moment, focused on possible implications of the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, Iran’s IRGC Quds Force leader.

According to the report, a vast array of challenges, leading with Iran, are confronting the country “against the backdrop of a continuing political crisis in Israel that will make it difficult to developed updated strategies.”

Key challenges before Israel in the future, according to the report will be that “Iran’s increased daring and determination in the nuclear arena,” as well as its attempts to establish a presence in Syria and other areas, could provide it with “new abilities to act against Israel.”

Another challenge is Hezbollah and its “attempts to obtain a large number of precision weapons and the efforts of Hamas to reduce the pressure on Gaza and to impact the terms of an understanding with Israel.”

It makes a mention of a potential peace deal with the Palestinian Authority, and it mentions that the Trump Administration should reveal its “deal of the century,” but no current Prime Minister candidates are campaigning for a peace deal, so that isn’t in the focus.

With a focus on Iran and its conduct, the report said that the results of Soleimani’s assassination remain unclear and that what exactly Iran could do remained in question.

According to it, the Trump administration presumably hoped to have dealt a decisive blow that would deter Tehran from attacking any US military positions.

Regardless of what the aim of the US was, the INSS warns that Israel should “uddenly and fundamentally shift its strategies in each and every national security arena in order to maintain its security in the face of warping challenges.”

The INSS said that an Iranian response on US military sites was likely, but that Saudi Arabia and Israel could also be targeted.

The report concludes that the Iran threat in a long-term is also significant, with it possibly working on a nuclear weapon, slowly and steadily.

A possible heavy escalation in Gaza are also possible, if Israel fails to reach some sort of long-term ceasefire with Hamas, the situation could deteriorate to levels not seen since 2014.

Finally, in terms of diplomacy with Russia, China and the US, the report said that Israel must establish itself as a “bi-partisan issue,” especially for the upcoming presidential elections.

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  • Peter Bozich

    Israel what a disgusting cuntry, lies and hubris is all that is manufactured in that shit hole.

    • Graham Steinberg

      NOT a country…..It is a “business” called “Tel Aviv Incorporated” but only for the rich & powerful. “CEO” is NOT elected & simply appoints himself to avoid long term jail sentence.These people call it the only ‘democracy’ in the mid east. Seriously one can only say heaven help the world ………….

      ..

  • Veritas Vincit

    There are numerous reports that indicate the assassination of General Soleimani was conducted with a KSA de-escalation initiative serving as an assassination trap. For example:

    – “According to the available data, the Iranian commander arrived in Baghdad under an official request from Iraq. He was set to receive de-escalation proposals that Saudi Arabia sent to Iran via Iraq. US President Donald Trump allegedly supported this idea during a phone call with the Iraqi Prime Minister. Therefore, the US supposedly used this initiative to set a trap for the Iranian military commander and assassinate him.” (Iraqi Prime Minister: Soleimani Arrived In Baghdad To Receive De-Escalation Proposal From Saudi Arabia. Trump Supported Initiative, Southfront, 05/01/2020)

    Other reports indicate Israeli involvement:

    – “This is an act of war. Unilateral, unprovoked and illegal….. According to my best Southwest Asia intel sources, “Israel gave the US the coordinates for the assassination of Qasem Soleimani as they wanted to avoid the repercussions of taking the assassination upon themselves.”. “(US starts the Raging Twenties declaring war on Iran, by Pepe Escobar, January 04, 2020)

    If verified, it is reasonable to expect the entities involved will all be targeted in subsequent retaliatory actions.

    In addition to ongoing efforts to engineer US-allied wars of aggression against successive strategic opponents, the Israelis have also been gloating about their ongoing offensive actions against Iranian, Syrian and Hezbollah targets believing the restrained responses somehow translate to immunity from retaliation. Such beliefs are the product of hubris and have little relevance to realities. Iran (in conjunction with Syria, Hezbollah, etc.) are quietly enhancing their capabilities and will likely respond at a time that is most favourable to them. Statements by their key officials confirm their recognition that a state of war is active (acts of war have been conducted and responses will in time follow). In this context, blowback is almost certainly coming. Israeli beliefs that the US be able to protect them is likely misplaced as the many recent US failures should clarify.

    • Jake321

      Maybe. But do note those couple of hundred mostly thermonuclear missiles Israel has and will use if the Islamist Iranians and their lap puppies get out of hand or they get close to developing nukes. They better hope the US helps against your friends or they may become such pretty glow in the dark dust and vapor. So don’t start cheering just yet.

      • Arch Bungle

        Only one thermonuke from Iran is required to Shoah your shitty little fake hebrew colony in Piss-rael.
        Then the world will have some peace.

        • Jake321

          And that is why Islamist Iran will never be allowed to get nukes even if it takes nukes to stop them.

          • Arch Bungle

            Too late.

            It already has a nuclear weapon much deadlier than the conventional nuclear or even hydrogen bomb:

            – By using its centrifuges to mix radioactive Cobalt powder into the explosive medium it can arm warheads that will scatter cobalt over a large area.
            – Unlike a nuclear explosion, cobalt contamination remains for thousands of years, making the ground uninhabitable.
            – Yet it is a low tech weapon not requiring the advanced control electronics for a nuclear explosive.

            Since the Iranians mastered the fuel cycle years ago, cobalt dirty nukes are already within their means.

      • Veritas Vincit

        In the context of a regional conflagration, the employment of nuclear devices (tactical or strategic) would only legitimise a corresponding (albeit non-nuclear) response. Total war (targeting of civilian populations) would be responded to in time with total war.

        Israeli nuclear capabilities are also largely ineffective in an asymmetric warfare domain. Such capabilities cannot secure its borders. This situation should be obvious. The liberation of occupied territories is an openly stated objective of the Iran-Syria-Iraq-Hezbollah-Palestinian-Houthi-allied bloc and adequate warnings have been issued. For example:

        – “I hope all Israelis will listen carefully to what I say: Netanyahu, his government and military officials did not correctly evaluate the magnitude this war will reach if they succeed to light its fires. What will be its extent, what will be its territory, who will participate on it, who will enter it… Netanyahu, his government and military officials do not know how this war will end if they start it……

        ……I now call first all Jews except the Zionists to detach their considerations from Zionist calculations who lead themselves to their final destruction. And I call on all those who came in occupied Palestine believing the promises that they would find the land of milk and honey to leave. I call them to leave Palestine and go back to the countries from which they came so that they don’t become mere fuel in any war where would lead them the stupid Netanyahu government. For if Netanyahu launched a war in this region, there may be no more time for them to leave Palestine, and there will be no safe place for them in occupied Palestine……

        …..the scale of the massacres committed by Israel against the Palestinian people and the peoples of the region, its partnership with Daesh and its open complicity in the project of partition of our region through its open and eager support to the secession of Kurdistan, all this will push the people of the region to render a capital verdict against them.” [Hezbollah Secretary General Seyyed Hassan Nasrallah]

        As the US and Israel expand criminal actions (violations of international law) in conjunction with key allies, their current celebrations indicate they do not yet understand the consequences of their actions. In time they shall understand.

        The content of your many comments clarify that you are a fool. Responding to fools is a waste of time and I have no more time to waste on you.

  • goingbrokes

    The could simply choose to live in peace – but they can’t. The most wretched of nations, apparently forever doomed to war and destruction.

  • Free man

    Netanyahu prays ten times a day that there will be a war between the US and Iran.
    But apparently the mullahs regime will not fulfill Netanyahu’s wishes.
    But they should also stop threatening, Trump may decide that the threats are sufficient grounds for an attack.

    • Jake321

      Unfortunately for the Iranian people, the Murdering Mullahs have raised the Red Flag of Vengeance. They can now NOT directly and significantly attack the US military. If they don’t, they will be seen in the region as total losers to be avoided like the plague. So the only hope is that Putz Putin calls his puppet Trump and tells him not to counterattack. The saddest interview recently was with the top Iranian military advisor to the top Ayatollah. He knows what deep doo doo they are in, obviously. In effect, he cried and pleaded for the US to let them take their Red Flag Revenge and NOT respond. It was a sad, pitiful and pathetic presentation. I actually felt sorry for the guy. But elsewhere in his government they sealed Islamist Iran’s fate by pulling totally out of the Nuke Deal. Now, soon, the US and/or Israel will takeout all their nuke facilities after eliminating their air defenses and Airforce, at least. This, even if tactical nukes need to be used. We are entering a new and terrible world with a manipulated but reactive and unstable moron as Prez of the US.

      • Arch Bungle

        Fortunately the fake heebrews in Tel Aviv have cooked their goose. The first 3 places to go up in smoke in a war between US and Iran will be Tel Aviv, Haifa and Dimona.
        Better pack your bags and run, Ziocunt.

        • Jake321

          Why run? I’m in sunny California. And any significant attack on Israel from Islamist Iran will mean the end of Iran as a functioning country. It’s good the Iranians aren’t as stupid and suicidal as you and yours.

  • <>

    Fuck this Bibi, under his terms Iran and its’ proxies got stronger and he did jack shit to stop it. He can’t fool Israelis forever, even some of his party members are against him now. Israel will not be ready till this man is behind bars, he is more dangerous than Iran itself. I hope we can fix it in March.

    • Jake321

      You are correct. Iran will not be gone. It will just glow in the dark.

  • Peter Jennings

    When wasn’t the isreali regime preparing for war.

  • hvaiallverden

    Yeah, the Yankikes and their buttbuddys is riding high, eh… again.

    There is an reason for nothing to happen, the latest years attack on Lebanon is more due to the tight disiplin and the fact that nothing substabcial happened, depite the attempts, and that Lebanon was under feroshious political presure from all angles, and yet, ISISrael have even since they have lost all the wars against Lebanon, not done anything and we have debated the drone attack and the Lebanes hitting back, and is the borderline stil empty, huh, Johos, I bet it is, this isnt Palestinians children and women witch your IDF likes to shoot at, you are nothing but bloody cowards.

    And now, when the latest cock up is served, what can we expect from the scums of this earth, apart from doing what they can and their whores in the Senate and Moronikan elite to make the imperial banana republic attack Iran, and stay in Iraq/Syria forever, I know ISISraels days are numbered, and despite the howling from the Yankikes about Dha Bomb, or even smaller Dha Bombs, aka tactical nukes witch I have seen on Videos, whom is basicalled an “big” f… bomb with its limitations (remeber one incident where the IDF uh…. nuked an chiken farm in south Lebanon, and have been used in Yemen, etc), and to think an TN will change anything, is just american idiocy, when wars after all this years, some people never learn, do they, that wars is always done by and won thru Soldiers on the ground.
    No matter of how much bombing the Yankikes do, history have shown that in the end, they can bomb for an very long time, but the main problem, and I bet the Yankikes Generals knows this, it dont work as people think, and the problem is, Iran can shoot back, B52 are just big honking targets, just an notch smalled than our moon, like the planet size Carriers, and then we have weapons I “know” the Iranians have, witch we havent seen in action, only an idiots shows or tells what they have if the outcome depends on how well you are able to defend your self, and to witch the enemy dont think you either have or is able to make, and so on, its been demonstarted, but they where not it all.

    If an war breaks out, remeber missiles, they can flow both ways, and if ISISrael is taking part, the fronts will be multiplyed, and also thos weapon platform in the mediterain sea will be exposed, not only in the Indian ocean, etc, and the bomb campagne the yankikes drools about maybe much, much worse to conduct than what the Imperial banana republic have ever encountered in their history, this, Yankikes isnt an 3 world dungeon, this time the field is much worse and can be highly dangerous for the Yankikes as well, since it will be shoot back at.
    The truth is, hasbaRats, Unites or brigades I dont give an f….., this, ISISrael will be your last war, after this one, you will be gone, nukes or not.
    This war is completely open, the end result highly uncertain, but I dont think for an moment Iran will be gone.

    Have an nice day.

    peace

  • Jake321

    Yep, they are polishing their couple of hundred mostly thermonuclear missiles.

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